ABOUT

Everyone watches the market. Almost nobody watches what it is standing on.

Prices, jobs, growth, government debt and the cost of money decide the ground everything else is priced on. They are published constantly, by governments, for free — and in a form almost nobody can actually compare. MMAI reads them and turns them into one score per country, rechecked every day.

THE VIEW

Three questions, asked of every economy the same way

A market chart tells you what price something reached. It does not tell you whether the economy underneath was helping or fighting it. These are the three things MMAI asks instead — identically of 6 economies, which is harder than it sounds and is most of the work.

ConditionsHow are prices and jobs right now?
DirectionWhich way is the economy moving?
CapacityHow much room is there to respond to trouble?

The answers are ranked against 148 market-years of those same economies, 2000–2025. A score of 85 means better than 85% of that record — a position in history, not a mark out of 100.

WHAT IT IS FOR

Questions it can answer today

Most people already feel the economy — rent is up, the job market feels tight or loose, a mortgage costs more than it did. What is hard to tell is whether that is your situation or the situation.

Is borrowing unusually expensive right now, or does it just feel that way?

The policy rate set against its own history, not against your memory of it.

Is my country's job market genuinely stronger than its neighbours'?

Nine economies on one scale, rebuilt so the comparison actually holds.

Are conditions improving, or getting worse?

A rank against 26 years, so you can see where today sits in the record.

Is inflation easing against the target my central bank actually uses?

Each bank's own objective — five aim at 2%, Australia at 2.5%.

HOW IT IS BUILT

Public data, made genuinely comparable

The inputs are free and public. Making them mean the same thing across six countries is the part that takes the work — and the part almost everyone gets wrong.

Rebuilt on one basis

Every country headlines a different growth figure — some annualised from a single quarter, one compared against the previous quarter, one not adjusted for inflation at all. MMAI rejects all of them and rebuilds each on the same footing.

Named sources

Every figure traces to a central bank or a national statistics agency, with its licence terms recorded and its own observation date shown, so you can see how fresh it is. Listed on the Sources page.

Published arithmetic

The formulas sit on the Learn page as equations. Someone working only from the published files has reproduced a score independently — to nine decimal places, without being told the answer.

Nothing quiet when it changes

Every method change is logged with the old rule, the new rule, the reason, the evidence and the effect on every score — including the changes that were embarrassing.

Where the line is

MMAI measures the economic environment. It is not a forecast, not a trading signal and not investment advice — it has never been tested against market returns and makes no claim about them. It is context for a decision, not the decision. The judgment calls behind the method, and what each one does to the ranking, are set out in full on the Learn page.

GET IN TOUCH

Every message is read personally

Requests, partnership enquiries, or a thought worth sharing. If you think something here is wrong, that is the most useful message you can send.

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