TRENDS

How the score — and everything behind it — has moved

Every score MMAI has published, and the figures underneath it. Open a dimension to see what it has been doing on its own, and the raw indicator it is built from.

What changed?20252026

  • Composite score moved -4.7 over this period.
  • Largest move this period: Direction, +14.9 points.
  • Smallest move this period: Capacity, -0.7 points.

Latest data: 2026 · Annual · 8 sources

1MMAI composite score over time — United States
RANGE
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Built from 8 sources — each institution is listed on the Sources pageMost recent point: 2026

2 — EXPLORE THE THREE DIMENSIONS

Follow one dimension through the record

Each card shows how that dimension ranks right now against the 148 market-years the headline uses, and what it measures.

3Conditions over time — United States
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What Conditions is made of, at 2026
ConditionsHow are prices and jobs right now?70.9

What the economy feels like to live in right now. Prices near target and people in work.

Inflation3.7%-0.47 sd× 0.381 = -0.181
Unemployment4.1%+0.96 sd× 0.619 = +0.592
sum = +0.411
÷ 0.664367 (this dimension’s spread across the record) = +0.619
ranked against 148 market-years = 70.9 percentile
4Raw indicator behind ConditionsMonthly · 90 points
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Current reading
3.7% YoY
Inflation
Weight in score33.3%
Period2026
SourceU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
LIVEVerified 2026-08-31
5How key macro forces move together
Inflation
Policy rate
Unemployment
Why these three

A central bank raises its policy rate specifically to cool inflation — and that same rate hike typically slows hiring, nudging unemployment up. This is where that relationship shows up in United States's own numbers.

Each rate also moves for reasons of its own, so not every wiggle lines up.

Three charts, not three lines. All three are quoted in per cent, which makes them look like the same kind of quantity — put on one axis they would sit almost on top of each other and appear to track far more closely than they do. Each has its own scale here, so what you are comparing is the shape over time.

Inflation3.7%
Policy rate3.63%
Unemployment4.1%

MARKET RATES · DAILY

What lenders charge governments to borrow for ten years

The policy rate is what a central bank decides. This is what the market decides — and unlike every other figure on this page, it moves every trading day. Not part of the MMAI score.

United States
4.67%
+0.060 vs prev. day
168 trading days of history
10y−2y +0.54
Euro Area
3.22%
+0.048 vs prev. day
169 trading days of history
Canada
3.70%
+0.000 vs prev. day
166 trading days of history
United Kingdom
5.08%
-0.019 vs prev. day
169 trading days of history
Japan
2.78%
+0.054 vs prev. day
160 trading days of history
Australia
5.06%
-0.054 vs prev. day
168 trading days of history
10y−2y +0.37

6 markets, not 9. Sweden, Norway and South Korea have no card here, because the daily figure would have to come from the Riksbank, Norges Bank and its own central bank, whose terms do not confirm that commercial reuse is permitted — and this site does not publish a source it cannot show a licence for. Eurostat publishes a monthly ten-year yield for them, which is a different measure from the daily curves above and is deliberately not mixed into them.

RANGE
10-year government bond yieldDaily · 131 trading days
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One source per market: the US Treasury, Bank of England, ECB, Bank of Canada, the RBA, and Japan's Ministry of Finance. Collected daily and stored, so this history survives a source changing shape or disappearing. Markets close at weekends and on public holidays — those days are gaps, never zeros. Latest reading 19 May 26.

On the 10y−2y , shown for the two markets that publish both maturities: a negative number means lenders want more to lend for two years than for ten. That is unusual, and worth reading alongside everything else rather than on its own.